MANILA (Xinhua) --
Unemployment rate in the Philippines is expected to remain high in
the next few months as the global economic crisis crimps business
activities, analysts said.
The Philippines has
one of the highest unemployment level in Southeast Asia, standing at
6.8 percent as of October 2008, according to the country's National
Statistics Office.
The global economic
turmoil has dampened demand in Japan, the United States and Western
Europe -- large markets for Philippine export goods, services and
migrant workers. As these markets contracted, so did the demand for
Philippine labor.
"Workers will
always be the victims in a recession," said Father Edwin Corros,
executive secretary of the Catholic Bishops Conference of the
Philippines' Episcopal Commission on Migrants and Itinerants.
"When there's
no demand for your products, how can you continue to hire people to
make your products?" said Rene Cristobal, vice president of the
Employers Confederation of the Philippines, Inc. (ECOP). Cristobal
said several of ECOP's member-companies have to lay off workers as
they either close shops or reduce their output.
Analysts said the
most vulnerable workers are those in the export-oriented industries
such as electronics and textile manufacturing. "The recession in
our trading partners has hit our exports sector hard," said
Philippine Socio-Economic Planning Secretary Ralph Recto. Philippine
economic planners expect export receipts to fall this year and this
doesn't bode well for workers, especially for those employed in
labor-intensive manufacturing companies.
Indeed, several
companies reported either laying off workers or cutting working hours
as the crisis reduced demand for Philippine exports.
In Luzon, northern
Philippines, Intel Corp., the first US semiconductor firm that
established a facility in the Philippines, shut down its factory and
retrenched 1,800 workers. In Cebu, southern Philippines, furniture
maker and exporter Giardini del Sole Inc. has temporarily shut down
and laid off about 250 workers as a result of the financial crisis.
The Philippine Labor
Department reported that 40,000 workers were retrenched, 33,000
workers are experiencing shorter working hours while over 5,400
overseas Filipino workers were displaced because of the crisis.
Dennis Arroyo,
director of national planning and policy of the National Economic and
Development Authority, forecast that as much as 200,000 workers may
be laid off as the crisis continues to hurt the local economy.
However, the
director doesn't expect the unemployment level to hit double-digit
levels which were recorded several years ago. In a paper issued last
month, Josef T. Yap, president of the Philippine Institute for
Development Studies, expect unemployment levels to stay at current
levels.
"Assuming that
the economy will not decelerate further in 2009, there is reason to
be cautiously optimistic that the unemployment rate will not rise
beyond 6.8 percent in the next few months," he said.
Recto conceded the
crisis will pressure the employment situation, but he believed that
the strong macroeconomic fundamentals combined with the
330-billion-peso (about 6.84 billion US dollars) stimulus package
will cap the growth in unemployment rate.
For this year,
despite the global recession, the Philippine GDP is expected to
expand at 3.7 percent to 4.4 percent. Recto said the easing of
inflation (estimated to hit 3.9 percent this year compared to last
year's 9.3 percent) will boost consumption and keep the economy
afloat. The stimulus package -- the bulk of which will be used to
build infrastructures -- will create 800,000 new jobs.
Luz Lorenzo,
regional economist of the ATR Kim Eng Securities, agrees that the
consumption driving Philippine economy will be resilient this year.
But such economic growth, she said, is not high enough to absorb the
burgeoning labor force.
"The economy
will not fall in the deep end. But neither will it be a bed of roses.
Unemployment will remain a problem," she said. Migration: by
need not by choice
The lack of
opportunities in the Philippines will force most Filipinos to seek
greener pastures abroad. Every year, around one million Filipinos go
overseas, mostly forced to leave their families to provide them with
a better life.
Father Corros said
most of the retrenched migrant workers that the Episcopal Commission
on Migrants and Itinerants has been assisting in the past few months
still prefer to work overseas instead of just staying in their own
country.
"Migrating is
the only option for them because they can't find jobs here," he
said, adding that "we go back to the same problem. They go
abroad because it's difficult to look for jobs here."
The Philippines is
one of the world's biggest labor exporters, with 10 percent of its
over 80 million population living abroad. Migration has long been
part of the Philippine government's strategy to solve the
unemployment problem.
This policy started
in the 1970s when then Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos, faced
with huge levels of foreign debt and the oil crisis, sent
construction workers to the Middle East. This was done to rein in the
rising unemployment levels and avoid growing social unrest. Thirty
years later, Filipinos continue to leave in droves -- working as
entertainers, domestic helpers, nurses, caregivers, seafarers and
programmers.
The global crisis
may have slowed businesses and even retrenched more than 5,000
Filipino migrant workers but analysts and government officials
believed that there will be demand for Philippine labor abroad.
Philippine President
Gloria Macapagal- Arroyo directed the Philippine Overseas Employment
Administration to aggressively market Filipino labor and expertise
abroad.
This kind of policy
has long been criticized by migrant rights advocates, explaining that
migration, although it brought in the much needed remittances, also
caused social problems. Numerous migrant workers have been physically
and sexually abused and have to endure exploitative working
conditions.
The separation also
breaks family ties and hurt the children who were left behind by
their parents. What is needed, they said, is for the government to
develop an economy that will provide decent jobs and will make
migration a choice, not a necessity, for most of the country's labor
force.
The current global
economic crisis, however, doesn't offer such option. The country's
economic managers said one of the factors that will support the
consumption-driven economy is the steady inflow of remittances. Labor
deployment will therefore remain a key government policy.
"We see a
steady labor demand in the Middle East, Australia and elsewhere which
are responding to the crisis by embarking on infrastructure projects
with their own stimulus packages," Recto said in last week's
economic briefing.
Analysts said most
Filipinos in the United States -- one of the top destination
countries for Filipino migrants -- will keep their jobs as they're
usually employed in the recession-proof healthcare sectors.
Industrialized economies with aging populations will continue to seek
cheap, English-proficient and skilled nurses and caregivers from
countries like the Philippines.
The Philippines is
one of the world's biggest exporters of health care workers. Every
year, over 8,000 Filipino nurses and 14, 000 caregivers were
deployed. Outsourcing industry offers new jobs
There are some
bright spots in the domestic labor market. The business process
outsourcing (BPO) industry is expected to remain bullish. BPO
revenues are forecasted to grow by 20 percent to 30 percent this year
and companies expected to hire 100,000 new workers.
"A lot of
companies are under a lot of pressure to cut cost so I think it will
accelerate outsourcing," said Alfredo Ayala, CEO of LiveIt
Solutions, Inc., the holding company for Ayala Corporation's
investments in business process outsourcing.
Call centers will
remain the biggest revenue earner and employer in the BPO sector. But
BPO executives believe that the growing demand for the high-value
non-voice outsourcing sectors such as animation, software development
and back office will offer opportunities to the country's
programmers, graphic designers and accountants.
"Right now,
we're really leading in the contact center sector. But now we're
trying to change that. We're trying to expand to the higher value
non-voice services," said Ma. Cristina Coronel, president of the
Philippine Software Industry Association.
Job openings,
however, will not necessarily translate into full- time employment.
BPOs offer a lot of perks and benefits to its employees but very few
are qualified to work in the industry. To solve this problem, BPOs
are offering workshops and scholarships to expand its talent pool.
Dennis Posadas,
deputy executive director of the Philippine Congressional Commission
on Science, Technology and Engineering, said that as far as
outsourcing in the information technology sector is concerned, very
few are qualified to take the jobs because many are not adequately
trained. "We still need to improve basic education in our pubic
schools. They need to emphasize on science and math education,"
he said.
Reflection
Paper: Unemployment
With
the global economic crisis we experience now a days the global
recession has been visibly seen specially to those country which
consider a third world like Philippines in order two cope up and
maintain the stability of business company regardless of its
industry, owners or entrepreneurs opt the decrease their manpower. As
a result there is a consistent increase in statistic of unemployment
rate. This problem has been experiencing by lots of us especially to
those people who cannot obtain any professional or white collar job.
With all of these, the bottom line poverty will surely exist just
like a cycle, if poverty occurs there only few people who cannot
obtain proper Education even know it is our birthright. Bear in mind
that if a country cannot be able to produce some people who have
enough knowledge in dealing with economic needs our manpower as well
as its productivity will placed at risk. And Because this government
must take an immediate action.
Since
it is a cycle the only way to resolve the problem is to break the
chain. How? First, they must focus on the internal aspect of
government itself. The right authority must learn how to utilize the
country’s own resources in terms of money machinery power and so
forth with all the small budget we have try to place, small
businesses where in newly graduate as well as those people who were
not be able to obtained bachelors of degree main gain lots of
benefits. Instead of removing those individuals who work on various
company or even lowering their wages just to compensate with the
scarcity, why not scheduled there working time so that everyone can
serve in this particular company, hence enhancing its productivity.
In
addition, government must allow individuals who have desired to work
overseas. In this way to obtain money enough or to resolve financial
crisis more over the position that they should occupied if ever they
decided to work here in Philippine setting will be given, to those
aspirant job applicants.